December 12, 2018 | Report
This paper presents the methodology for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2019, which includes growth projections for 11 major regions and individual estimates for 33 mature and 36 emerging market economies for 2019-2023 and 2024-2028. The projections are based on a supply-side growth accounting model that estimates the contributions of the use of factor inputs—labor and capital—and total factor productivity growth to the growth of real gross domestic product (GDP). While labor input growth rates are estimated using data on demographic changes and participation rates—including an estimation to adjust for the change in the composition (or quality) of the workforce—capital input and total factor productivity growth are econometrically estimated using a wide range of related variables during past periods. The obtained trend growth rates for the period 2019-2023 are adjusted for possible deviations between actual and potential output in the short run.
August 19, 2024
BRIEF
July spending and inflation data consistent with rate cuts
August 30, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Global Economy Decreased in June and July
August 28, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
US Consumer Confidence Rises Slightly in August
August 27, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for China Remained Unchanged in July
August 26, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for India Declined in July
August 22, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for France Declined in June
August 20, 2024
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Charts
Preliminary PMI indices show no change in weak DM growth momentum in November
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How Might the World Fall Back into Recession?
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Passing increases downstream, cutting costs, and absorbing price increases into profit margins are the chief ways to manage rising input costs. Few see changing
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Downgraded global GDP forecast, but no recession expected
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US continues to lead global productivity race
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The Global Economic Fallout of the Ukraine Invasion
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The global supply chain disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in production delays, shortages, and a spike in inflation in world.
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The Conference Board recently released its updated 2022 Global Economic Outlook.
LEARN MOREGlobal growth is expected to slow over the next decade relative to the prior ten years.
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