Supply Chain Briefs
2022
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Hawkish Fed will likely spark recession in late 2022
July 27 | Erik Lundh, Senior Economist, Global, The Conference Board | Comments (0)As expected, the Fed hiked interest rates by 75 basis points today - the fourth consecutive increase this year and the second 75 basis point hike in a row.
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Retail Sales Improved, But Not Enough to Counter Inflation
July 15 | Erik Lundh, Senior Economist, Global, The Conference Board | Comments (0)The latest retail sales data show an economy that may be losing some momentum as headwinds from high inflation and rising interest rates intensify.
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CPI Reaction—Prices Hit Another 41-year High
July 13 | Erik Lundh, Senior Economist, Global, The Conference Board | Comments (0)Prices increased both month-over-month and relative to a year ago, providing further reason for the Fed to follow through with a 75bp rate hike on July 27th
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Inflation, Recession Fears Slowing Consumer Spending
June 30 | Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance Center, The Conference Board | Comments (0)The May Personal Income & Outlays report is beginning to show the limits of consumer spending amid high inflation and Fed rate hikes.
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Global Outlook Downgraded as Recession Probabilities Rise
June 27 | Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance Center, The Conference Board | Erik Lundh, Senior Economist, Global, The Conference Board | Klaas de Vries, Former Senior Economist, The Conference Board | Comments (0)US Recession Now Likely
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A More Hawkish Fed May Trigger a Recession
June 15 | Erik Lundh, Senior Economist, Global, The Conference Board | Comments (0)The Fed hiked interest rates by 75 basis points today and indicated that the Fed Funds rate would enter restrictive territory by the end of 2022.
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CPI Reaction—Prices Reach 41-year High Supporting Fed Hike
June 10 | Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance Center, The Conference Board | Comments (0)Although prices for select durables are falling, the war in Ukraine continues to stoke nondurables prices, particularly for food and energy.
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Real Spending Rises as Inflation Lessens in Intensity
May 27 | Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance Center, The Conference Board | Comments (0)The April Personal Income & Outlays data had many positive notes even as recession fears are rising amid high inflation and Fed rate hikes.
