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Economy, Strategy & Finance Center

Global Economic Outlook

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  •  + 0.5% Australia LEI
  •  - 0.2% Brazil LEI
  •  - 0.3% China LEI
  •  - 1.3pts Consumer Confidence
  •  - 0.76% Employment Trends
  •  - 0.3% Euro Area LEI
  •  + 0.3% France LEI
  •   0.0% Germany LEI
  •  - 0.1% Global LEI
  •  + 1.0% HWOL
  •  + 0.9% India LEI
  •  - 0.7% Japan LEI
  •  + 0.3% Mexico LEI
  •  + 0.7% South Korea LEI
  •  + 0.3% Spain LEI
  •  - 0.1% UK LEI
  •  - 0.1% U.S. LEI
  •  + 15.0pts U.S. CEO Confidence
    • Economic Data

    Global Economic Outlook

    updated 10 September 2025

    More Insights For What's Ahead In The Global Economy

    • Data: Forecasts and long-term projections available through Data Central.
    • Global:  Global Forecast Update (monthly); Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039 (annual, 12 November 2024); StraightTalk® (quarterly publication on the global economy). 
    • United States:  Economic Forecast for the US Economy (monthly);  Economy Watch: US View reports and webcasts (monthly).
    • Europe:  Economic Forecast for the European Economy (monthly);  Economy Watch: European View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039: Euro Area Edition (annual, 13 December 2024).
    • China:  Economy Watch: China View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039: China Edition (annual, 10 December 2024).
    • Emerging Markets:  Economy Watch: Emerging Markets View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2025-2039 (annual, 12 November 2024).

     

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    Brief

    Tariffs a Factor, but Still Muted in CPI; Fed to Focus on Labor Market
    Tariffs a Factor, but Still Muted in CPI; Fed to Focus on Labor Market

    September 11, 2025

    On-Demand Webcast

    The Economic Outlook—Storms or Sunshine Ahead?
    Economy Watch
    The Economic Outlook—Storms or Sunshine Ahead?

    September 10, 2025

    Guide & Reference

    How to Use the Global Gray Swans Tool
    How to Use the Global Gray Swans Tool

    September 09, 2025

    Brief

    Consumers Continue to Favor Necessities amid Rising Prices
    Consumers Continue to Favor Necessities amid Rising Prices

    August 29, 2025

    Database

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    Recession & Growth Trackers

    August 28, 2025

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    Global LEI Report

    August 28, 2025

    Podcast

    The State of the Economy for August 2025
    C-Suite Perspectives
    The State of the Economy for August 2025

    August 26, 2025

    Brief

    Pre-Aug 1 Tariff Buying Likely Boosted July Retail Sales
    Pre-Aug 1 Tariff Buying Likely Boosted July Retail Sales

    August 15, 2025

    Brief

    July CPI data showed that tariffs continued to creep into data
    July CPI data showed that tariffs continued to creep into data

    August 12, 2025
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    Experts / Authors

    authorImage

    Dana M. Peterson

    Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance Center

    Read Bio

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    Erik Lundh

    Senior Economist, Global

    Read Bio

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    Fiona Liu

    Economist

    Read Bio

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    Press Releases / In the News

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for Spain Rose in July

    September 11, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for South Korea Increased Again in July

    September 10, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for Japan Fell in July

    September 09, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for the Global Economy Inched Down in June and July

    August 28, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for China Declined Again in July

    August 27, 2025

    PRESS RELEASE

    US Consumer Confidence Little Changed in August

    August 26, 2025

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    All release times displayed are Eastern Time


    Charts

    Global Gray Swans Tool

    The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.

    LEARN MORE Yellow and white frame illustration

    Global Economic Outlook 2024 to 2036

    Global growth is expected to slow over the next decade relative to the prior ten years.

    LEARN MORE Yellow and white frame illustration

    Upcoming Events

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    Expert Briefing

    Inflation's Impact on the Global Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    European Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    The Energy Landscape and the Global Economy
    Expert Briefing

    The 10-year Global Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    Inflation's Impact on the Global Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    European Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    The Energy Landscape and the Global Economy

    Explore More on this Topic

    Publications

    Global Forecast Update

    Global Forecast Update

    September 11, 2025 | Article

    Tariffs a Factor, but Still Muted in CPI; Fed to Focus on Labor Market

    Tariffs a Factor, but Still Muted in CPI; Fed to Focus on Labor Market

    September 11, 2025 | Brief

    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the Euro Area Economy

    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the Euro Area Economy

    September 05, 2025 | Article

    Pre-Aug 1 Tariff Buying Likely Boosted July Retail Sales

    Pre-Aug 1 Tariff Buying Likely Boosted July Retail Sales

    August 15, 2025 | Brief

    July CPI data showed that tariffs continued to creep into data

    July CPI data showed that tariffs continued to creep into data

    August 12, 2025 | Brief

    Economy Watch: US View (August 2025)

    Economy Watch: US View (August 2025)

    August 11, 2025 | Article

    View Less View More

    On Demand Webcasts, Podcasts and Videos

    The Economic Outlook—Storms or Sunshine Ahead?

    September 10, 2025

    Economy Watch: US Public Policy and the Economy

    April 09, 2025

    US Economic Volatility in 2025

    February 12, 2025

    The Long-term Economic Outlook for the US, Europe, and China

    December 11, 2024

    The 2025 Global Economic Outlook

    November 13, 2024

    The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe

    July 10, 2024

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