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Global Economic Outlook

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  •  + 0.2% Australia LEI
  •  + 0.8% Brazil LEI
  •  + 0.1% China LEI
  •  - 1.4pts Consumer Confidence
  •  - 0.19% Employment Trends
  •  - 0.3% Euro Area LEI
  •  + 0.4% France LEI
  •  + 0.6% Germany LEI
  •  - 0.2% Global LEI
  •  + 1.1% HWOL
  •   0.0% India LEI
  •  + 0.9% Japan LEI
  •  - 2.1% Mexico LEI
  •  + 0.8% South Korea LEI
  •  + 0.2% Spain LEI
  •  - 0.5% UK LEI
  •  - 0.2% U.S. LEI
  •  - 12.0pts U.S. CEO Confidence
    • Economic Data

    Global Economic Outlook

    updated 16 July 2026

    More Insights For What's Ahead In The Global Economy

    • Data: Forecasts and long-term projections available through Data Central.
    • Global:  Global Forecast Update (monthly); Global Economic Outlook 2026: Global Edition (annual, 8 December 2025); StraightTalk® (quarterly publication on the global economy). 
    • United States:  Economic Forecast for the US Economy (monthly);  Economy Watch: US View reports and webcasts (monthly); Global Economic Outlook 2026: US Edition (annual, 8 December 2025).
    • Europe:  Economic Forecast for the European Economy (monthly);  Economy Watch: European View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2026: Euro Area Edition (annual, 12 December 2025).
    • China:  Economy Watch: China View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2026: China Edition (annual, 9 December 2025).
    • Emerging Markets:  Economy Watch: Emerging Markets View reports (monthly);  Global Economic Outlook 2026: Global Edition (annual, 8 December 2025).

     

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    Report

    Global LEI Report
    Global LEI Report

    July 30, 2026

    Brief

    Q2 GDP and June Inflation Support September Fed Hold
    Q2 GDP and June Inflation Support September Fed Hold

    July 30, 2026

    Brief

    FOMC Decision: Hawkish Rhetoric, No Action: September Hike Odds Decline
    FOMC Decision: Hawkish Rhetoric, No Action: September Hike Odds Declin…

    July 29, 2026

    Podcast

    The State of the Economy for July 2026
    C-Suite Perspectives
    The State of the Economy for July 2026

    July 28, 2026

    Brief

    July FOMC Preview: Patience Meets Division: The Warsh Fed Faces Its First Test
    July FOMC Preview: Patience Meets Division: The Warsh Fed Faces Its Fi…

    July 28, 2026

    Database

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    Recession & Growth Trackers

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    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy

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    Brief

    June Retail Sales Boosted by Early Prime Day and World Cup
    June Retail Sales Boosted by Early Prime Day and World Cup

    July 16, 2026

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    June CPI Closes the Door for July Rate Hike
    June CPI Closes the Door for July Rate Hike

    July 14, 2026
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    Fiona Liu

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    Yuhan Zhang, PhD

    Principal Economist

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    PRESS RELEASE

    The Global LEI Fell Slightly Both in May and in the Advanced Estimate for June

    July 30, 2026

    PRESS RELEASE

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    July 28, 2026

    PRESS RELEASE

    LEI for China Ticked Up in June

    July 23, 2026

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    July 22, 2026

    PRESS RELEASE

    The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Declined in June a

    July 20, 2026

    PRESS RELEASE

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    July 17, 2026

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    Charts

    Global Gray Swans Tool

    The Gray Swans Tool helps C-suite executives better navigate today’s quickly developing economic, political, and technological environments.

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    Global Economic Outlook 2026: New Horizons in Productivity and Growth

    This report identifies trends to help businesses prepare for an environment with more challenges for labor and capital but improvements in productivity growth.

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    Upcoming Events

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    Expert Briefing

    Inflation: What it Means for the US Economy and Your Business
    Expert Briefing

    European Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    The Energy Landscape and the Global Economy
    Expert Briefing

    The 15-Year Global Economic Outlook: Opportunities, Caveats, and Uncertainties
    Expert Briefing

    Inflation: What it Means for the US Economy and Your Business
    Expert Briefing

    European Economic Outlook
    Expert Briefing

    The Energy Landscape and the Global Economy

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    Publications

    Q2 GDP and June Inflation Support September Fed Hold

    Q2 GDP and June Inflation Support September Fed Hold

    July 30, 2026 | Brief

    FOMC Decision: Hawkish Rhetoric, No Action: September Hike Odds Decline

    FOMC Decision: Hawkish Rhetoric, No Action: September Hike Odds Decline

    July 29, 2026 | Brief

    July FOMC Preview: Patience Meets Division: The Warsh Fed Faces Its First Test

    July FOMC Preview: Patience Meets Division: The Warsh Fed Faces Its First Test

    July 28, 2026 | Brief

    Global Forecast Update

    Global Forecast Update

    July 16, 2026 | Report

    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy

    The Conference Board Economic Forecast for the US Economy

    July 16, 2026 | Report

    June Retail Sales Boosted by Early Prime Day and World Cup

    June Retail Sales Boosted by Early Prime Day and World Cup

    July 16, 2026 | Brief

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    On Demand Webcasts, Podcasts and Videos

    USMCA 2.0—Trade Uncertainty in North America

    June 10, 2026

    Power Shifts: From the Fed to EV Markets

    May 13, 2026

    The Iran Conflict: Risks for the Global Economy

    April 15, 2026

    Priced Out: The State of US Housing Affordability

    February 11, 2026

    The CEO Outlook for 2026—Uncertainty, Risks, Growth & Strategy

    January 15, 2026

    The Big Picture: What's Ahead for the Global Economy?

    December 10, 2025

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