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Brexit: What's Next?
February 2021 | Publication
This publication looks at 3 possible scenarios: Scenario 1, Fall Apart: Brexit prompts further dismantling of the United Kingdom, while strengthening the appeal of the EU as a global trading hub. Scenario 2, British Resilience: The UK reinvents itself as a new global economic power that competes with the EU. Scenario 3, Muddle Through: The UK reaps limited benefits from Brexit and remains in an economic malaise characterized by low GDP and productivity growth.