For Release 9:30 AM ET, November 8, 2024
Using the Composite Indexes: The Leading Economic Index (LEI) provides an early indication of significant turning points in the business cycle and where the economy is heading in the near term. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) provides an indication of the current state of the economy. Additional details are below.
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Spain increased by 0.4% in September 2024 to 99.0 (2016=100), after being unchanged in August. The LEI grew by a modest 0.5% over the six-month period between March and September 2024, at less than half the 1.1% rate of growth recorded over the previous six-month period, from September 2023 to March 2024.
The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Spain rose by 0.2% in September 2024 to 113.0 (2016=100) after a 0.1% uptick in the previous two months. The CEI grew by 1.2% over the six-month period between March and September 2024, after increasing by 0.8% over the previous six-month period.
“The LEI for Spain rose in September, after a soft patch over the summer,” said Allen Li, Associate Economist at The Conference Board. “September’s gain was prompted by positive contributions from five of the six components, with only the order books component weakening. Order books were also the only component to have significantly weakened over the past six-months, highlighting possible weakness in the manufacturing sector. Nonetheless, the recent evolution of the Spain LEI continues to signal tailwinds to growth for the rest of the year and into 2025, and lower inflation and interest rates are expected to continue to support growth. While the devasting floods that hit the Southeast of Spain in October may have a temporary negative impact on exports and GDP, it is too early to assess its magnitude. The Conference Board expects the Spain economy to grow by about 3% in 2024 and about 2% in 2025.”
The next release is scheduled for Monday, December 9, 2024, at 9:30 A.M. ET.
About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Spain
The composite economic indexes are key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. Comprised of multiple independent indicators, the indexes are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning points in the economy in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component.
The CEI reflects current economic conditions and is highly correlated with real GDP. The LEI is a predictive tool that anticipates—or “leads”—turning points in the business cycle by around three months.
The six components of Leading Economic Index® for Spain are:
The five components of the Coincident Economic Index® for Spain are:
To access data, please visit: https://data-central.conference-board.org/
About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is the member-driven think tank that delivers Trusted Insights for What’s Ahead™. Founded in 1916, we are a non-partisan, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. ConferenceBoard.org
With graph and summary table
November 08, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for the Global Economy Decreased Again in September and October
November 26, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for China Declined in October
November 25, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for India Increased in October
November 19, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Mexico Fell Again in September
November 19, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Australia Increased in September
November 15, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
LEI for Germany Declined in September
November 15, 2024
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Charts
Recession and growth trackers are analytical tools to visualize where the economy is and where it is headed.
LEARN MOREBusiness & Economics Portfolio
October 03, 2024 | Database
The Economy Stabilized in August but Outlook Remains Weak
September 27, 2023 | Report
China's Economic Recovery Continues to Stutter (Economy Watch: China View, June 2023)
June 30, 2023 | Report
Leading Economic Indicators and the Oncoming Recession
December 07, 2022 | Report
The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe
July 10, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
Is a Global Recession on the Horizon?
July 13, 2022 11:00 AM ET (New York)