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Taiwan ≠ Ukraine: A Pragmatic Assessment
May 04, 2022 | Report
Putting aside the critical question of whether China would opt for military action against Taiwan even as a last resort, and what conditions might precipitate such a desperate decision, any Chinese timeline for a forceful reunification of Taiwan will likely depend on three factors, as outlined in the report.
- China's military readiness and confidence in an invasion scenario.
- US and global resolve to support Taiwan.
- The economic costs of sanctions.
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Complimentary.
