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April 21, 2022 | Report
Assorted yield curves have inverted, but our canary in the coal mine—The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® or LEI—is still singing. Risks to the global economic outlook from the war in Ukraine and tightening Fed policy, notwithstanding, our leading economic indicators continue to point to positive growth in the US over the next six to nine months. Importantly, the Leading Credit Index™, or LCI, a broad measure of credit conditions and a subcomponent of the leading index, does not portend a US recession.
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PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® Increased in November
December 19, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® Fell in October
November 21, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® Declined in September
October 21, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® Inched Down Further in August
September 19, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® (LEI) Declined in July
August 19, 2024
PRESS RELEASE
US Leading Economic Index® (LEI) Fell Slightly in June
July 18, 2024
All release times displayed are Eastern Time
Charts
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US rose sharply in August and remains on a rapidly rising trajectory. The strengths among the leading indic…
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Charts
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the United States continued to improve in August, but a recession signal derived from the index has continued t…
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Charts
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index®(LEI) for the US dropped 4.4 percent in April, following a decline of 7.4 percent in March.
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Technical Notes for the US LEI
December 19, 2024 | Guide & Reference
June 17, 2022 | Report
April 21, 2022 | Report
August US leading index points to continued economic growth
September 23, 2021 | Chart
US LEI improving, but recession signal remains
September 24, 2020 | Chart
LEI points to a deep recession with no sign of fast rebound
May 21, 2020 | Chart
The Long-term Economic Outlook for the US, Europe, and China
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The Evolving Economic Outlook for Europe
July 10, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
What Are The Conference Board LEIs Telling Us About the Future?
April 10, 2024 11:00 AM ET (New York)
Inflation, Labor Markets, and the Fed
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