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Economy, Strategy & Finance Center

US Leading Indicators

Absorbing Global Shocks

April 21, 2022 | Report

What leading indicators say about prospects of a 2022 recession in the US

Assorted yield curves have inverted, but our canary in the coal mine—The Conference Board Leading Economic Index^®or LEI—is still singing. Risks to the global economic outlook from the war in Ukraine and tightening Fed policy, notwithstanding, our leading economic indicators continue to point to positive growth in the US over the next six to nine months. Importantly, the Leading Credit Index™, or LCI, a broad measure of credit conditions and a subcomponent of the leading index, does not portend a US recession.

AUTHORS

Ataman Ozyildirim

Former Senior Director, Economics
The Conference Board

Dana M. Peterson

Chief Economist and Leader, Economy, Strategy & Finance Center
The Conference Board

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US Leading Indicators

Press Releases / In the News

PRESS RELEASE

US Leading Economic Index® (LEI) Fell Again in May

June 21, 2024

PRESS RELEASE

US Leading Economic Index® (LEI) Continued to Fall in April

May 17, 2024

PRESS RELEASE

US Leading Economic Index® (LEI) Fell in March

April 18, 2024

PRESS RELEASE

US Leading Economic Index® (LEI) Inched Up in February

March 21, 2024

PRESS RELEASE

US Leading Economic Index® (LEI) Fell Further in January

February 20, 2024

PRESS RELEASE

LEI for the U.S. Inched Down in December

January 22, 2024

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Economic Indicator Calendar

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Global Economic Indicators

- 0.3% Australia LEI

- 0.6% Brazil LEI

- 0.5% China LEI

- 0.9pts Consumer Confidence

+ 0.87% Employment Trends

- 0.5% Euro Area LEI

- 0.7% France LEI

0.0% Germany LEI

- 0.4% Global LEI

+ 3.4% HWOL

+ 1.2% India LEI

+ 0.6% Japan LEI

- 0.3% Mexico LEI

- 0.2% South Korea LEI

0.0% Spain LEI

- 0.1% U.K. LEI

- 0.9pts U.S. LEI

+ 1.0pts U.S. CEO Confidence

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