Projecting Global Growth
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  •  + 0.3% Australia LEI
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  •  - 0.3% China LEI
  •  - 0.8pts Consumer Confidence
  •  + 0.91% Employment Trends
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  •  - 0.4% UK LEI
  •  + 0.2% U.S. LEI
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    • Projecting Global Growth


    November 13, 2012 | Report

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    This report presents the methodology for The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2013, including projections for 11 major regions and individual estimates for 33 mature and 22 emerging market economies for 2013, 2014—2018, and 2019–2025. The projections are based on a supply-side based growth accounting model that estimates the contributions of the use of labor, capital, and productivity to the growth of GDP. Capital and productivity growth are estimated on the basis of a wide range of related variables during past periods. The trend growth rates that are obtained from this exercise are adjusted for possible deviations between actual and potential output.


    AUTHORS

    VivianChen

    Vivian Chen

    Senior Economist

    BenCheng

    Ben Cheng

    Former Researcher, Economics Department
    The Conference Board

    GadLevanon, PhD

    Gad Levanon, PhD

    Former Vice President, Labor Markets
    The Conference Board

    AtamanOzyildirim

    Ataman Ozyildirim

    Former Senior Director, Economics
    The Conference Board

    Bartvan Ark

    Bart van Ark

    Managing Director, The Productivity Institute
    The University of Manchester

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