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CED’s Policy Backgrounders provide timely insights on prominent business and economic policy issues facing the nation.
The UK Ministry of Defence stated that it believes the war is about to enter a “new phase, with the heaviest fighting shifting to a roughly 350 km frontline stretching south-west from near Zaporizhzhia to Kherson, paralleling the Dnieper River” -- part of a broad Ukrainian counteroffensive focusing first on damaging Russia’s ability to resupply its troops in southern Ukraine. Russia is continuing to move forces from the eastern Donbas region to the new area of fighting in the south, including via Crimea (linked to mainland Russia by a bridge). The Ministry also said that Russia has “almost certainly” set up a new ground force to support the war but that Russia was still struggling to raise the troops it needs and is reluctant to call for an unpopular mobilization.
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