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Copy LinkTrack the economy’s current state and future direction with our Recession & Growth Trackers, updated monthly for 16 countries and regions.
This tool allows Members to easily see the current and future state of each economy in 4 quadrants:
expansion slowdown recession recovery
Members can also explore the database to compare historical data across economies.
Recession & Growth Trackers are analytical tools based on composite business cycle indicators from The Conference Board: The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI).
In other words, the LEI provides a signal about the future state of the economy, while CEI is used to confirm that signal a few months later.
The quadrants are determined by estimating whether the index is above or below its long-term average growth rate (trend) and whether the index is moving away from or closer to this trend.
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